CDC predicts Covid-19 cases, hospitalization and deaths to fall in the next four weeks


There is good news for the United States as people prepare for the Memorial over the weekend.



a man standing in a room: A free bed in the Providence St. emergency department.  Mary Medical Center on March 30 in Apple Valley, California.


© Mario Tama / Getty Images
A free bed in the emergency department of Providence St. Mary Medical Center on March 30 in Apple Valley, California.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicts that Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths will fall over the next four weeks. CDC ensemble forecasts end with a total of 596,000 to 606,000 Covid-19 deaths as of June 19.

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As of Friday, Covid-19 had killed the least 593,364 people and affected more than 33 million in the U.S., according to Johns Hopkins University.

The improved vision could lead to ongoing efforts in states to vaccinate people. Already, 10 states have reached the Biden administration’s goal of that vaccination 70% of adults on July 4 with at least one dose.

Currently, more than 50% of the U.S. population has received at least one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine, according to CDC data. And more than 40% of the population is fully vaccinated, that data shows.

Many states are now offers incentives for people to get the vaccine – but some officials remain concerned about what is going on hesitation and delay in vaccination rates among qualifiers.

The CDC updated the summer camp instruction

On Friday, the CDC putting in new Covid-19 instructions for summer camps, Says staff and campers who are fully vaccinated should not wear a mask, unless required by federal, state, local, tribal or territorial regulations, or if it is a business or workplace policy.

Body separation is no longer necessary for the fully vaccinated, according to the agency.

Camps with unvaccinated campers or staff should use a variety of prevention measures to protect the unvaccinated, according to the agency, adding that in those cases body isolation can be an important factor. tools to aid the spread of Covid-19.

Gathering children and forming small groups of campers who stay together throughout the day can help reduce exposure, regardless of whether they have been vaccinated or not. Masks help protect before being vaccinated and are especially encouraged indoors for those who are not fully vaccinated, according to the agency.

In the instruction, the CDC encourages all 12 years of age and older to get vaccinated against the virus and emphasizes vaccines that are safe and effective.

Recommendations to protect children

Children younger than 12, who are not yet eligible for a vaccine, should continue to exercise caution, according to experts.

The American Academy of Pediatrics recommends that children ages 2 or older who are not fully vaccinated should wear a good face mask.

The updated instruction recommends children wear a mask at school, in child care programs, at camp, when playing with friends and playing indoor sports and outdoor sports. with close contact. There are exceptions for games where masks can be dangerous such as gymnastics.

Masks should be worn outdoors if the child is in multiple group settings, or if it is impossible to keep a good physical distance from others, according to the AAP.

The AAP also recommends children wear one at home if they live with someone who is immunocompromised or at risk for severe Covid-19.

“COVID-19 vaccines are very effective, but we need to be careful,” AAP President Dr. Lee Savio Beers in a statement.

To help adolescents and adults with moderate or more severe cases of Covid-19, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has authorized monoclonal antibody therapy sotrovimab for ages 12 and older who are at risk for serious illness or death.

Many states offer vaccine incentive programs

California, Minnesota and New Jersey are the most recently offered states new incentives for people to be vaccinated.

California is offering gift cards and cash prizes, including a $ 15 million prize to be shared among ten Californians who have been vaccinated. This includes every resident who has already been vaccinated, and those who will receive a shot before the state fully opens on June 15, according to Governor Gavin Newsom’s office.

The next two million vaccinated residents will qualify for $ 100 million gift cards, which are sold for $ 50 extra as a prepaid Visa or grocery store card.

Nearly 50% of eligible Californians have been fully vaccinated and another 12% have received a single dose of Covid-19 vaccine, but another 12 million residents are eligible but have not yet been vaccinated. inoculate, according to state officials.

In Minnesota, Gov. Tim Walz launched the “Your Shot to Summer” campaign where 100,000 Minnesotans vaccinated between Memorial weekend and the end of June are eligible to choose from a variety of incentives, including state parking and fishing licenses as well as state and regional amusement park tickets.

“We want to pair a program that we think is similar to Minnesota,” Walz told reporters. “We think it’s a great way to start the summer.”

“I think especially this tackle so far out of Minnesota, we want to encourage people to get out there, we hope it’s a lifetime. It’s probably people’s first fishing license, we hope to buy one every year afterwards, ”he said.

Minnesota’s Covid-19 bans on businesses, gaming activities and social gatherings ended Friday.

In New Jersey, Governor Phil Murphy “Shots at the Shore” announced program on Friday to encourage more people to get a Covid-19 vaccine.

The program will help provide vaccines to people who visit Monmouth County beaches at the end of Memorial day, and will have available vaccination locations at the Grande Arcade on the boardwalk in Asbury Park, the Gateway National Recreational Area in Sandy Hook. and the gazebo at Pier Village in Long Branch, the governor said.

“Through our‘ Shots at the Shore ’program, we are providing another reason for New Jerseyans to visit our beautiful beaches this Japanese Dawn Memorial,” Murphy said in a statement.

‘Vaccination, hit the beach’

New York City has its own plan to vaccinate everyone. The city will provide vaccination buses to beaches and parks to offer free vaccinations on the weekends.

“We’re going to go the extra mile, whatever it takes,” Mayor Bill de Blasio said. “You’ll see our vaccination buses all over New York City in the next few days.”

He added: “Walk, get vaccinated, hit the beach. Really simple.”

De Blasio also said the town is vaccinating more than 9,000 homeless individuals and is expanding the program to include the disabled and about 75 and older. To date, the city administers a total of 8,130,889 doses of the vaccine.

Proponents of the vaccine need to at some point

Experts say vaccine shots will likely be necessary at some point.

Peter Peters, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, said whatever is now known points to the fact that we need boosters, when that may be is yet to be determined.

“The exact time when boosters are needed is probably a combination of two things,” he said. “One, how quickly the resistance drops, but it can also depend on what variants of Covid-19 are circulating.”

Participants in the original vaccine trials are now being followed so that their resistance response will be seen at a later time and there is some evidence that it has “dropped” over time, Marks said at a webinar on Covid-19 Vaccine Education and Equity Project.

Because some level of resistance is enough to prevent Covid-19 from originally filtering the virus, but it may not be enough for other varieties, he said.

“We have to see where it’s all talking. Is it possible we’ll need a booster at some point? Yes. Is it possible? Yes. Do we know exactly when? No,” Marks said.

“But if I had to look at my crystal ball, it might not be as soon as expected than a year after being vaccinated for the average / age adult,” he added.

However, he thinks it could be different for uncompromising immunity or older adults who may need a booster shot as soon as possible.

“The good news can come that the resistance will last even longer,” Marks added.

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